September 6 (11:30) | Huiqi Chen
Assessing the Health and Economic Burden of Heat Stress under Climate Change: Case Studies from China and Brazil
Climate change has a huge impact on global health, with high temperatures being the most direct and significant influencing factor. However, current research on the impact of heat on health is mainly focused on a short-term assessment of mortality or admissions in a given country region. This offers an incomplete picture of the overall impact of heat on national health systems in the longer term, especially economic implications. This lecture aims to assess the economic impact of heat stress on health systems using China and Brazil as case studies, exploring how effects vary over time and across subnational regions.
Based on gridded temperature datasets and municipality-scale health datasets, the relationships between heat stress and the risk of health outcomes are constructed using time-series analysis. The attributable risk assessment method is employed to estimate heat-attributable mortality or morbidity. Furthermore, the economic burden of health impacts is calculated using the willingness-to-pay or cost-of-illness approaches.
The findings indicate that with accelerating climate change and population ageing, the effects of future heat stress on human health are likely to increase continuously even under a low emission scenario. However, pursuing a sustainable development pathway significantly reduces both health impacts and associated economic burdens. Policymakers need to tighten climate mitigation policies tailored to local conditions while enhancing climate resilience technically and infrastructurally, especially for vulnerable people.
4 octobre (11h30) | Tim Lenton - Points de bascule positifs pour éviter les points de bascule climatiques
18 octobre (11h30) | Nolwen Maudet - Vivre avec un smartphone obsolète : comprendre l'obsolescence logicielle
8 novembre (11h30) | Pierre Labadie - Présence et transfert des composés per- et polyfluoroalkylés (PFAS) dans les écosystèmes aquatiques : aperçu de l'état des connaissances
Link to attend the visio conferences
Next conferences program